NextDC Shares Rebound After 39.5% Plunge on FY2027 Guidance Cut Over Melbourne Power Delays

The Facts

  • Shares of Australia's NextDC fell 39.5% on Wednesday after the data center operator cut its annual earnings forecast. CNBC only
  • The drop was the biggest since NextDC listed in 2010, according to Bloomberg. Bloomberg only
  • NextDC shares later rebounded, clawing back part of the losses, according to Bloomberg. Bloomberg only
  • Bloomberg reports the profit warning was linked to protests at one of NextDC's sites. Bloomberg only
  • NextDC lowered fiscal 2027 revenue guidance to A$475 million-A$500 million, from A$615 million-A$640 million. CNBC only
Dive deeper · 6 more factsShow less
  • NextDC cut its fiscal 2027 underlying EBITDA forecast to A$245 million-A$265 million, from A$385 million-A$410 million. CNBC only
  • NextDC attributed the cut to power supply delays at its M3 Melbourne data center, where infrastructure upgrades have been suspended amid community opposition. CNBC only
  • According to NextDC, electricity distributor Jemena does not expect to resume work before February 2027. CNBC only
  • Jemena cited safety concerns, restricted access to work sites due to community opposition, and lack of consent from the local council pending further community consultation. CNBC only
  • Citi said in a note the power delays could affect NextDC's earnings beyond fiscal 2027, citing delayed approvals for the M3 expansion and a longer-than-expected transformer upgrade timeline. CNBC only
  • NextDC shares had fallen for seven straight weeks and were on course to end lower for an eighth. CNBC only

Context

Australian data center operator NextDC cut its fiscal 2027 revenue and underlying EBITDA guidance, citing power supply delays at its M3 Melbourne facility. Upgrades by distributor Jemena have been suspended amid community opposition.

Shares plunged 39.5% on Wednesday, and Bloomberg reports they later recovered some of the losses. The drop was the largest since the company's 2010 listing, per Bloomberg.

How the Agent Panel Scored This

Independent AI personas each scored importance 1–10; the story's score is a trimmed mean (highest and lowest votes dropped). Vote spread: 3.

6 Business Analyst A 39.5% single-day plunge, the largest since listing, following a material guidance cut and suspended power upgrades at a major Australian data center operator is market-moving for a major ASX-listed company, though its impact is largely confined to one company and its investors rather than the broader economy.
5 Critical Reader A concrete, measurable event (a 39.5% share plunge and a guidance cut of roughly 25-35%, the largest drop since 2010) affecting a listed company and its investors, but its reach beyond shareholders and the company is limited, so it is moderately important rather than major.
5 News Editor A concrete, record-sized 39.5% share plunge and guidance cut at a major listed operator is newsworthy with market and investor impact, but it affects a narrow group of shareholders and a single company rather than many people broadly.
4 Science & Tech Analyst A large one-day share drop at a single listed data center operator caused by a guidance cut and project delays is notable for investors and the Australian market, but it has limited broader impact beyond the company and its shareholders.
4 Policy Expert This is a significant market event for one listed company with a large share drop and guidance cut tied to suspended power upgrades, but it is corporate financial news with limited direct impact on the broader public, and no government action is reported.
3 Global Affairs Analyst This is a single-company stock drop and earnings guidance cut tied to local power delays, with limited impact beyond NextDC shareholders and a regional data center project, so it's minor business news rather than geopolitical significance.
3 Informed Citizen This is a single-company stock move and guidance cut tied to a local power delay at one data center, affecting mainly investors and a limited set of customers rather than ordinary people broadly.

Sources (2)